國立政治大學統計學系 學術演講

主講人:鄧惠文教授(交通大學資訊管理與財務金融學系)
題    目:A Spherical Monte Carlo Simulation Approach with Applications in Finance
時    間:民國106年4月24日 (星期一) 下午1:30  
地    點:國立政治大學逸仙樓050101教室
摘    要:
Accurate and efficient calculation for expected values is challenging in finance as well as various disciplines. In general, expected values can be written as high-dimensional integrals. Monte Carlo simulation is an indispensable tool for calculating them, but it is notoriously known for its slow convergence. For spherical distributions, this paper proposes a variance reduction technique and investigates its applications in finance. By using polar transformation, the expected value is written as an integral, and the innermost integral is with respect to the radius and the outermost integral is with respect to the unit sphere. The spherical Monte Carlo estimator is the average of function values of some random points generated by lattice. For illustrations, we consider Value-at-Risk calculation under heavy-tailed distributions and GARCH option pricing. We demonstrate the superiority of the proposed method via numerical studies in terms of variance, computation time, and efficiency.
Keyword: spherical distribution, Monte Carlo method, high-dimensional integrals, GARCH option pricing, Value-at-Risk, lattice